Monday, November 3, 2008

Obama Wins Nevada, Prez Election Now Strongly Leaning

More early voting results are in-

Nevada (74% reporting)- Obama 57%, McCain 43%

This result allows me to call Nevada for Barack Obama, since McCain would need 70% of the remaning part of the vote to win. With Oregon, Colorado, and New Mexico, he now has 26 electoral votes, of which 19 are in 2004 Bush states. In order to win, Obama needs 17 more votes than Kerry. Thus, if this holds up, McCain will have to win at least 3 electoral votes won by Kerry. Kerry did not win Ohio or Florida, and so this would have to be New Hampshire or an even less likely Kerry state like Pennsylvania. Early voting results showing strong Obama leads in Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, and Montana, all Bush states in 2004, add to the bad news for McCain.

Georgia is too close to call in both the presidential and Senate races. This Senate race could turn out to be the ninth for Democrats, which would require a filibuster to need the votes of either Lieberman or a Democrat to be sustained. However, if the winner fails to get 50% of the vote, the Libertarian candidate (4%) will be eliminated and a second round will be held between the top two candidates on December 2.

Georgia (57% reporting)- Obama 52%, McCain 47%
Georgia Senate- Martin (D) 51%, Chambliss (R) 45%

Indiana and Missouri also have some early results in-

Indiana (22% reporting)- Obama 64%, McCain 35%
Indiana governor- Jill Long Thompson (D) 53%, Mitch Daniels (R-inc.) 46%

Missouri (11% reporting)- Obama 56%, McCain 43%
Missouri governor- Nixon (D) 67%, Hulshof 32%

No comments: